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Damon Toth

Damon Toth, PhD, MS

Languages spoken: English

Academic Information

Departments Primary - Internal Medicine

Divisions: Epidemiology

Academic Office Information

Damon Toth, PhD, is an Assistant Professor in The Research Track in the Division of Epidemiology, Department of Internal Medicine, and an Adjunct Assistant Professor in the Department of Mathematics. As an applied mathematician, his research interests include mathematical modeling and simulation of the spread of infectious diseases.
Dr. Toth’s research accomplishments include major contributions to the Final Supplementary Risk Assessment for the Boston University National Emerging Infectious Diseases Laboratories (NEIDL). His ongoing work includes network and transmission modeling for the CDC-sponsored Contacts among Utah’s School-age Population (CUSP) project, modeling of the infection and transmission of Clostidium difficile in hospitals, and modeling of dose-response, incubation period, and transmission of infectious pathogens for use in risk analysis and outbreak prediction and surveillance.
Dr. Toth received his PhD in Applied Mathematics from the University of Washington. He received post-doctoral training in the Mathematical Biology group in the University of Utah’s Department of Mathematics.

Education History

Postdoctoral Training University of Utah
Postdoctoral Training
University of Washington
Graduate Training University of Washington
Princeton University

Selected Publications

Journal Article

  1. Toth DBeams AKeegan LZhang YGreene TOrleans BSeegert NLooney AAlder SSamore M (2021). High variability in transmission of SARS-CoV-2 within households and implications for control. PLoS One, 16(11), e0259097.
  2. Love J, Keegan L, Angulo F, McLaughlin J, Shea K, Swerdlow D, Samore M, Toth D (2021). Continued need for non-pharmaceutical interventions after COVID-19 vaccination in long-term-care facilities. Sci Rep, 11, 18093.
  3. Khader K, Thomas A, Stevens V, Visnovsky L, Nevers M, Toth D, Keegan L, Jones M, Rubin M, Samore M (2021). Association between contact precautions and transmission of methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus in Veterans Affairs hospitals. JAMA Netw Open, 4(3), e210971.
  4. Toth D, Samore M, Nelson R (2021). Economic evaluations of new antibiotics: the high potential value of reducing healthcare transmission through decolonization. Clin Infect Dis, 72(Supplement_1), S34-S41.
  5. Toth D, Keegan L, Samore M, Khader K, OHagan J, Yu H, Quintana A, Swerdlow D (2020). Modeling the potential impact of administering vaccines against Clostridioides difficile infection to individuals in healthcare facilities. Vaccine, 38(37), 5927-5932.
  6. Toth D, Khader K, Beams A, Samore M (2019). Model-based assessment of the effect of contact precautions applied to surveillance-detected carriers of carbapenemase-producing Enterobacteriaceae in long-term Acute care hospitals. Clin Infect Dis, 69(Supplement_3), S206-S213.
  7. Khader K, Thomas A, Jones M, Toth D, Stevens V, Samore M (2019). Variation and trends in transmission dynamics of methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus in Veterans Affairs hospitals and nursing homes. Epidemics, 28, 100347.
  8. Toth D, Khader K, Slayton R, Kallen A, Gundlapalli A, OHagan J, Fiore A, Rubin M, Jernigan J, Samore M (2017). The potential for interventions in a long-term acute care hospital to reduce transmission of carbapenem-resistant Enterobacteriaceae in affiliated healthcare facilities. Clin Infect Dis, 65(4), 581-587.
  9. Pettey W, Carter M, Toth D, Samore M, Gundlapalli A (2017). Constructing Ebola transmission chains from West Africa and estimating model parameters using internet sources. Epidemiol Infect, 145(10), 1993-2002.
  10. Beams A, Toth D, Khader K, Adler F (2016). Harnessing Intra-Host Strain Competition to Limit Antibiotic Resistance: Mathematical Model Results. Bull Math Biol, 78(9), 1828-1846.
  11. Toth D, Tanner W, Khader K, Gundlapalli A (2016). Estimates of the risk of large or long-lasting outbreaks of Middle East respiratory syndrome after importations outside the Arabian Peninsula. Epidemics, 16, 27-32.
  12. Leecaster M, Toth D, Pettey W, Rainey J, Gao H, Uzicanin A, Samore M (2016). Estimates of social contact in a middle school based on self-report and wireless sensor data. PLoS One, 11(4), e0153690.
  13. Pettey W, Toth D, Redd A, Carter M, Samore M, Gundlapalli A (2016). Using network projections to explore co-incidence and context in large clinical datasets: application to homelessness among U.S. Veterans. J Biomed Inform, 61, 203-213.
  14. Slayton R, Toth D, Lee B, Tanner W, Bartsch S, Khader K, Wong K, Brown K, McKinnell J, Ray W, Miller L, Rubin M, Kim D, Adler F, Cao C, Avery L, Stone N, Kallen A, Samore M, Huang S, Fridkin S, Jernigan J (2015). Vital Signs: estimated effects of a coordinated approach for action to reduce antibiotic-resistant infections in health care facilities - United States. MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep, 64(30), 826-831.
  15. Toth D, Gundlapalli A, Khader K, Pettey W, Rubin M, Adler F, Samore M (2015). Estimates of outbreak risk from new introductions of Ebola with immediate and delayed transmission control. Emerg Infect Dis, 21(8), 1402-1408.
  16. Tanner W, Toth D, Gundlapalli A (2015). The pandemic potential of avian influenza A(H7N9) virus: a review. Epidemiol Infect, 143(16), 3359-3374.
  17. Toth D, Leecaster M, Pettey W, Gundlapalli A, Gao H, Rainey J, Uzicanin A, Samore M (2015). The role of heterogeneity in contact timing and duration in network models of influenza spread in schools. J R Soc Interface, 12(108), 20150279.
  18. Rubin M, Jones M, Leecaster M, Khader K, Ray W, Huttner A, Huttner B, Toth D, Sablay T, Borotkanics R, Gerding D, Samore M (2013). A simulation-based assessment of strategies to control Clostridium difficile transmission and infection. PLoS One, 8(11), e80671.
  19. Toth D, Gundlapalli A, Schell W, Bulmahn K, Walton T, Woods C, Coghill C, Gallegos F, Samore M, Adler F (2013). Quantitative models of the dose-response and time course of inhalational anthrax in humans. PLoS Pathog, 9(8), e1003555.


  1. Toth D, Khader K (2021). Efficient SARS-CoV-2 surveillance strategies to prevent deadly outbreaks in vulnerable populations. BMC Med, 19(1), 25.

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